The latest release from our Re-Programming Mobility research project is a complete bibliography of the 150+ source documents that provided much of the raw material for the four scenarios of mobility in U.S. metro areas in 2030, which will be published in early September.
The project has sought to bring more scrutiny to the public debate over the impacts of new digital technologies and services on transportation, land use, and planning. Key questions include:
- What new technologies and services will have the broadest impact on mobility? Which will have more focused, but transformative, impacts on niche markets?
- How will new technologies and services impact land use patterns?
- What kinds of organizational changes will transportation regulators, funding agencies, and planning institutions need to begin preparing for now, and what kinds of skills and practices will transportation planners need in the future?
To shed light on these questions, over the last year, our research team has conducted a comprehensive horizon scan of current debate over the nature and impact of these new technological innovations. Our analysis draws on hundreds of documents – research articles, case studies, news reports, and opinions and essays – produced by transportation experts, technology experts, journalists, and amateur observers. From these source materials we have identified many more new technologies, new scientific discoveries, forecasts and speculation, and emerging conflicts. Some of these documents helped us identify patterns in the emerging discourse and speculation around trends in transportation, others provided expert insights and recent research findings with major impacts for future cities.
Airsage. “The Future of Transportation Studies.”
Airsage. “An Industry on the Move: The Airsage Annual Transportation Survey.” Airsage. August 15, 2013.
Alan, Christopher. “Auto Parkit: A Parking Revolution Comes to Urban America.” The Planning Report. June 5, 2013.
Alter, Lloyd. “Google Unveils Its Designs for a Self-driving Car, and It Will Change Our Cities and Suburbs.” Treehugger. May 28, 2014.
Alter, Lloyd. “How the Self-driving Car Might Make Our Cities Better and Greener.” Treehugger. June 17, 2013.
“Millennials & Mobility: Understanding the Millennial Mindset.” American Public Transportation Association (APTA). October 2013.
Arieff, Allison. “Driving Sideways.” New York Times. July 23, 2013.
Arup, and Josh Levi. “New York City 2050.” Arup Connect. December 3, 2013.
Asymobi blog. May 18, 2014.
Badger, Emily. “Driverless Vehicles Will Force Us to Rethink Car Ownership.” Washington Post. April 18, 2014.
Badger, Emily, “What the Rise of Technology Has to Do With the Decline of Driving”, CityLab, October 1, 2013.
Badger, Emily. “What Will Happen to Public Transit in a World Full of Autonomous Cars.” CityLab. January 17, 2014.
Benfield, Kaid, and Lee Epstein. “Whither Intelligent Vehicles and Automated Highways.” Switchboard. June 17, 2013.
Berg, Nate. “What Running Out of Power in a Tesla on the Side of a Highway Taught Me About the Road Trip of Tomorrow.” CityLab. April 29, 2014.
Bilton, Nick. “The Money Side of Driverless Cars.” New York Times. July 9, 2013.
Bilton, Nick. “Disruptions: How Driverless Cars Could Reshape Cities.” New York Times. July 7, 2013.
De Boer, Joop. “Turtle Taxi: Push The Button To Slow Down Your Ride.” Pop Up City. May 19, 2014.
Burgess, Kaya. “No Place for Cars’ in Cities of the Future.” The Times. July 15, 2013.
Burns, Lawrence D., William C. Jordan, and Bonnie A. Scarborough. “Transforming Personal Mobility.” (The Earth Institute, Columbia University: New York). January 27, 2013.
Burns, Larry. “Test-Driving Driverless Cars.” Project Syndicate. August 15, 2013.
Byrd, H, et al. “Measuring the Solar Potential of a City and Its Implications for Energy Policy.” Energy Policy. 2013.
Chase, Robin. “Will a World of Driverless Cars Be Heaven or Hell?” CityLab. April 3, 2014.
Chin, Ryan. “Solving Transport Headaches in the City of 2050.” BBC. June 18, 2013.
Chu, Serena. “Google Glass App Helps Bikers Navigate Without Phones.” Psfk. September 25, 2013.
Conway, Peter. “The Next Autonomous Car Is A Truck.” Strategy+Business. May 28, 2013.
Cranshaw, Justin. “Whose “City of Tomorrow” Is It? On Urban Computing, Utopianism, and Ethics.” 2013.
DeChant, Tim. “In 40 Years, Will Self-driving Cars Send Us Packing for the Suburbs?” Per Square Mile Blog. March 20, 2014.
Diana, Carla. “Talking, Walking Objects.” New York Times. January 26, 2013.
“An Internet of Airborne Things.” The Economist. December 1, 2012.
“How to Be Urban.” The Economist. June 1, 2010.
Eubanks, Cormac. “These Drones Will Save Your Life.” Design Mind. January 17, 2014.
Fang, Eric. “The Case for Age-Friendly Suburbs.” Planetizen Blog. April 5, 2013.
Feige, Irene. “The Future of Mobility – Scenarios for the Year 2025.” In Trends and Issues in Global Tourism.
Ferro, Shaunacy. “SmartWalk Turns Any Surface Into A Subway Tracker.” Fast Company Design Blog. April 14, 2014.
Fiorindo, Greg. “Parking: Can Technology Tackle the Great Unsolved Urban Problem?” Meeting of the Minds Blog. July 23, 2013.
Flegenheimer, Matt. “Bloomberg’s Traffic Ideas: First the World, Then, Maybe, the City.” New York Times. July 13, 2013.
“Megacities on the Move: Your Guide to the Future of Sustainable Urban Mobility in 2040.” Forum for the Future. November 2010.
Gandelsonas, Mario. “Soft Infrastructure: Interview with Mario Gandelsonas.” GRIDS Blog. October 10, 2011.
Garthwaite, Josie. “RidePal to Help Bay Area Residents Commute Like Google Employees.” New York Times. March 1, 2012.
“Fed Telework Could Save $11 Billion a Year.” Global Workplace Analytics. September 17, 2013.
Goldwyn, Eric. “Why UberX Will Win in the End.” CityLab. April 17, 2014.
Gorton, Mark. “Using Information Technology to Achieve a Breakthrough in Transportation in New York City.” StreetsBlog.
“THE MAYOR’S VISION FOR CYCLING IN LONDON: An Olympic Legacy for All Londoners.” Greater London Authority. March 2013.
Greene, Will. “E-Services Help Tame Manila’s Traffic Mess.” Techonomy. April 10, 2014.
Hardy, Quentin. “Mapping Our Interiors.” New York Times. May 18, 2014.
Hudson, Kris. “Cities Cut Parking Mandates.” Wall Street Journal. July 9, 2013.
Hull, Dana. “The BART Strike: A Boon For Sidecar And Uber.” Siliconbeat. July 1, 2013.
Jaffe, Eric. “Using Insights and Incentives to End Rush Hour.” CityLab. May 15, 2014.
Jaffe, Eric. “No, Ride-Sharing Is Not the Death of Public Transportation.” CityLab. July 11, 2013.
Jaffe, Eric. “How Tolls Could Help Prevent a U.S. Transportation Crisis.” CityLab. May 7, 2014.
Jaffe, Erik. “Imagine: A World Where Nobody Owns Their Own Car.” CityLab. February 13, 2014.
Jaffe, Eric. “Has the Rise of Online Shopping Made Traffic Worse?” CityLab. August 2, 2013. http://www.theatlanticcities.com/commute/2013/08/has-rise-online-shopping-made-traffic-worse/6409/.
Janson, Chris. “10 Ways Intelligent Transportation Makes a Difference.” UBM’s Future Cities. May 19, 2014.
Kaplan, Greg. “Understanding the Long-Run Decline in Interstate Migration.” CityLab. April 2012.
Lanzendorf, Martin. “Mobility Biographies: A New Perspective for Understanding Travel Behaviour.” August 2003.
Laursen, Lucas. “How Self-Driving Cars Will Sneak Onto Our Roads.” IEEE Spectrum. April 30, 2014.
Lavrinc, Damon. “Mercedes Is Testing Google Glass Integration, and It Actually Works.” Wired. August 15, 2013.
Lawler, Ryan. “Dispatch From The Future: Uber To Purchase 2,500 Driverless Cars From Google.” Techcrunch. August 25, 2013.
Leber, Jessica. “Looking More Closely at the Way People Move through Cities.” MIT Technology Review.
Lee, Dave. “Self-driving Car given UK Test Run at Oxford University.” BBC News. February 14, 2013.
Lee, Timothy B. “Low-income Countries Might Get Drone Deliveries before the U.S. Here’s Why.” Washington Post. December 3, 2013.
Lev-Ram, Michael. “The End of Driving (as We Know It).” Fortune. June 12, 2014.
Levinson, David. “Pricing With and Without Reservations.” Transportationist Blog. June 18, 2013.
Levinson, David. “What Ever Happened to Traffic?” Transportationist Blog. November 7, 2013.
Mann, Ted. “Taxi-Hail Apps Mostly Used Outside Manhattan and at Odd Hours.” Wall Street Journal Metropolis Blog. August 5, 2013.
Markoff, John. “At High Speed, on the Road to a Driverless Future.” New York Times. May 27, 2013.
Markoff, John. “”Police, Pedestrians and the Social Ballet of Merging: The Real Challenges for Self-Driving Cars.” New York Times. May 29, 2014.
Markoff, John. “Google’s Next Phase in Driverless Cars: No Steering Wheel or Brake Pedals.” New York Times. May 27, 2014.
Martinez, Marcus, and Amna Ansari. “Shuffle City.” Alloybuild.
McCrum, Dan. “Insurers Will Destroy Themselves to Nudge Us Into Robot Utopia.” Financial Times. March 4, 2013.
McGrane, Sally. “Car Sharing Grows With Fewer Strings Attached.” New York Times. June 25, 2013.
“Helsingin Bussiliikenne Oy (Helsinki Bus Transportation Company) Saves Money, Boosts Customer Satisfaction with Power BI for Office 365.” Microsoft. April 22, 2014.
Mims, Christopher. “Commentary: Uber’s $18.2B Valuation Is a Head Scratcher.” Wall Street Journal. June 6, 2014.
Mui, Chunka. “Google Car + Uber = Killer App.” Forbes. August 23, 2013.
Mui, Chunka. “Dispatch From 2023: Google Considers Buying 250,000 Driverless Cars From Tesla, But Buys Tesla Instead.” Forbes. August 29, 2013.
Neil, Dan. “Driverless Cars for the Road Ahead.” Wall Street Journal. September 27, 2013.
Newton, Casey. “Uber Will Eventually Replace All Its Drivers with Self-driving Cars.” The Verge. May 28, 2014.
Orange PCS. “The Way to Work: Space, Place and Technology in 2016” 2006.
Ortman, S.G., A.H.F. Cabaniss, J.O. Sturm, and L.M.A. Bettencourt. “The Pre-History of Urban Scaling.” PLoS ONE. 2014.
De La Peña, B., and R. Albright. “Catalyzing the New Mobility in Cities: A Primer on Innovative Business and Service Models.” Rockefeller Foundation. 2013.
Peterson, Molly. “Is Ridesharing the Future of Public Transit Systems, or the Failure of Them?” Southern California Public Radio. July 8, 2013.
Plumer, Brad. “Will Driverless Cars Solve Our Energy Problems — or Just Create New Ones?” Washington Post Wonkblog. March 30, 2013.
Quain, John R. “Mapping Apps Follow the Crowd.” New York Times. May 30, 2014.
Rajarman, Sunil. “What Is the Impact of Uber, Homejoy and Others on the Transportation and Housekeeping Industries?” Huffington Post. April 16, 2014.
Research and Innovative Technology Administration. “ITS Strategic Research Plan, 2010-1014.” October 2012.
Roberts, David. “This Is How You’ll Get There.” The American Prospect. January 31, 2010.
Roberts, David. “Sometimes a Driverless Car Is Not Just a Driverless Car: Thoughts on Widgets and Systems.” Grist Blog. February 1, 2013.
Romem, Issi. “Self-driving Cars: A Force for Urban Densification or Expansion?” Meeting of the Minds Blog. June 11, 2013.
Romem, Issi. “How Will Driverless Cars Affect Our Cities?” Meeting of the Minds Blog. March 25, 2013.
Roose, Kevin. “Transit Strike Shows the Dark Side of Silicon Valley’s Privatization Fetish.” New York Magazine Intelligencer Blog. July 2, 2013.
Rose, Jonathan. “5 Crucial Principles for 21st Century Transportation Systems.” CityLab. May 29, 2014.
Rosenblatt, Seth. “Even Limited to 25 Mph, Google’s Car Will Arrive Faster than You Think.” CNET. May 29, 2014.
Sadowski, Jathan. “Delivered by Drones: Are Tacocopters and Burrito Bombers the next Pony Express?” Slate. August 6, 2013.
Salesses, Philip, Katja Schechtner, and César A. Hidalgo. “The Collaborative Image of The City: Mapping the Inequality of Urban Perception.” 2013. PLoS ONE.
Salmon, Felix. “How Roads Could Beat Rail.” Reuters. January 24, 2013.
Sankin, Aaron. “”Leap Transit, San Francisco Private Bus Company, Gives Muni Some Competition.” Huffington Post. May 29, 2013.
Schwartzstein, Peter. “In Cairo, Widespread Sexual Harassment Is Also Making Traffic Congestion Worse.” CityLab. May 9, 2014.
Scola, Nancy. “The Very Big Thing That Uber, Lyft and Sidecar Didn’t Get From California.” Next City. August 6, 2013.
Scott, Mark. “Uber Faces Rebukes in Europe.” The New York Times. April 17, 2014.
Seelye, Katherine Q. “To Lure Bostonians, New ‘Pop-Up’ Bus Service Learns Riders’ Rhythms.” New York Times. June 4, 2014.
Shaheen, Susan A., Madonna L. Camel, and Lee Kunik. “Exploring the Future of Integrated Transportation Systems in the United States from 2030 to 2050: Applications of a Scenario Planning Tool.” 2013. Transportation Board Annual Meeting.
Shaheen, Susuan, and Matt Christensen. “The True Future of Transportation Has Two Big Barriers to Entry.” CityLab. April 25, 2014.
“Smart City Gran Concepcion.”
Smith, Bryant W. “Automated Vehicles Are Probably Legal in the United States.” Stanford University Center for Internet and Society. November 1, 2012.
Smith, Stephen J. “San Francisco Cuts ‘Cruising’ for Parking in Half With Market-Clearing Prices.” Next City. April 2, 2014.
Sottek, T.C. “Google’s Car Could Be the Best Thing Ever for Privacy on the Road: Ducking the Police May Be a Lot Easier in the Future.” The Verge. May 30, 2014.
“Lightweight Flatpack Truck Can Be Assembled in a Day.” Springwise Blog. June 19, 2013. https://smallbusiness.yahoo.com/advisor/lightweight-flatpack-truck-assembled-day-105301588.html.
Steiniger, Karl, and Gabriel Bachnera. “Extending Car-sharing to Serve Commuters: An Implementation in Austria.” Ecological Economics. 2014.
Steinmetz, Katy. “Coddle Models: Cars That Can Steer Themselves–at a Dealer near You.” Time. July 1, 2013.
Stenquist, Paul. “As Workload Overwhelms, Cars Are Set to Intervene.” New York Times. April 5, 2013.
Stewart, Jack. “The Secret Nerve Center under LA’s Streets.” BBC. May 19, 2014.
Sundararajan, Arun. “Trusting the Sharing Economy to Regulate Itself.” New York Times. March 3, 2014.
Templeton, Brad. “New Design Factors for Robot Cars.” Templetons Blog.
Templeton, Brad. “The Robocar and the Bicycle.” Templetons Blog. September 28, 2013.
Templeton, Brad, “Driving the Robocar Revolution”, 7DEE, Sept. 24, 2013.
“Introduction of On Demand Buses.” Tokyo University.
Tomio, Geron. “While BART Strikes Continues, Do Ride-Sharing Apps Complement Or Undercut Public Transit?” Forbes. July 3, 2013.
Torbert, Roy, and Blake Herschaft. “Driving Miss Hazy: Will Driverless Cars Decrease Fossil Fuel Consumption?” Rocky Mountain Institute Blog. January 25, 2013.
“Survey: To Recruit and Keep Millennials, Give Them Walkable Places with Good Transit and Other Options.” Transportation for America. April 22, 2014.
Trop, Jaclyn. “Detroit, Embracing New Auto Technologies, Seeks App Builders.” New York Times. June 30, 2013.
“Few U.S. Cities Are Ready for Aging Baby Boomer Population.” USA Today. March 25, 2012.
Vlasic, Bill, and Matt Richtel. “Voice-Activated Technology Is Called Safety Risk for Drivers.” New York Times. June 12, 2013.
Wallgren, Marten. “WINNER! (SeymourPowell Award) For…” Marten Wallgren Blogspot. June 14, 2009.
Walsh, Ben. “”Self-Driving Cars Are Still Cars—Which Means They Won’t Improve Your Commute.” New Republic. May 29, 2014.
Webber, Melvin. “Order in Diversity: Community Without Propinquity.” In Cities and Space: The Future Use of Urban Land. (Johns Hopkins University Press, Baltimore, 1963) pp 23-54.
Yoshida, Junko. “Metcalfe’s Law & the Future of Driving.” EE Times. August 23, 2013.
Youn, Hyejin, Hawoong Jeong, and Michael T. Gastner. “The Price of Anarchy in Transportation Networks: Efficiency and Optimality Control.” arXiv.org. December 10, 2007.
Zax, David. “A World Without Car Crashes.” CityLab. February 11, 201.
Zmud, Johanna, Liisa Ecola, Peter Phleps, and Irene Feige. “The Future of Mobility: Scenarios for the United States in 2030.” Rand. 2013.