“No one receives a social penalty for aggressive driving, and only rarely a legal penalty,” writes Tom Vanderbilt, NYU Rudin Center Visiting Scholar, in The New York Times. Read his full piece about the psychological aspects of attaining Vision Zero here.
The latest in our series of findings from our ongoing work on “Re-Programming Mobility” is a trend report and set of research notes highlighting key findings from our year-long survey of more than 150 sources highlighting new technologies and services shaping the future of transportation, new scientific discoveries, forecasts and speculation, and emerging conflicts. (A complete source bibliography is available at http://wagner.nyu.edu/rudincenter/2014/08/re-programming-mobility-a-bibliography-of-source-materials/).
They are a compendium of trends and signals about the ongoing and future transformation of mobility in the United States as a growing wave of innovation employing digital technologies and services take hold between now and 2030.
These notes are organized according to four alternative future scenarios we are developing which will be published in early September 2014. They are intended as a sneak preview of the key themes of each scenario, a supplement to the scenarios themselves, as well as an informational resource for the research community.
The complete set of scenarios will be published in early September.
The latest release from our Re-Programming Mobility research project is a complete bibliography of the 150+ source documents that provided much of the raw material for the four scenarios of mobility in U.S. metro areas in 2030, which will be published in early September.
The project has sought to bring more scrutiny to the public debate over the impacts of new digital technologies and services on transportation, land use, and planning. Key questions include:
- What new technologies and services will have the broadest impact on mobility? Which will have more focused, but transformative, impacts on niche markets?
- How will new technologies and services impact land use patterns?
- What kinds of organizational changes will transportation regulators, funding agencies, and planning institutions need to begin preparing for now, and what kinds of skills and practices will transportation planners need in the future?
To shed light on these questions, over the last year, our research team has conducted a comprehensive horizon scan of current debate over the nature and impact of these new technological innovations. Our analysis draws on hundreds of documents – research articles, case studies, news reports, and opinions and essays – produced by transportation experts, technology experts, journalists, and amateur observers. From these source materials we have identified many more new technologies, new scientific discoveries, forecasts and speculation, and emerging conflicts. Some of these documents helped us identify patterns in the emerging discourse and speculation around trends in transportation, others provided expert insights and recent research findings with major impacts for future cities.
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Hudson, Kris. “Cities Cut Parking Mandates.” Wall Street Journal. July 9, 2013.
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Jaffe, Eric. “Using Insights and Incentives to End Rush Hour.” CityLab. May 15, 2014.
Jaffe, Eric. “No, Ride-Sharing Is Not the Death of Public Transportation.” CityLab. July 11, 2013.
Jaffe, Eric. “How Tolls Could Help Prevent a U.S. Transportation Crisis.” CityLab. May 7, 2014.
Jaffe, Erik. “Imagine: A World Where Nobody Owns Their Own Car.” CityLab. February 13, 2014.
Jaffe, Eric. “Has the Rise of Online Shopping Made Traffic Worse?” CityLab. August 2, 2013. http://www.theatlanticcities.com/commute/2013/08/has-rise-online-shopping-made-traffic-worse/6409/.
Janson, Chris. “10 Ways Intelligent Transportation Makes a Difference.” UBM’s Future Cities. May 19, 2014.
Kaplan, Greg. “Understanding the Long-Run Decline in Interstate Migration.” CityLab. April 2012.
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Lavrinc, Damon. “Mercedes Is Testing Google Glass Integration, and It Actually Works.” Wired. August 15, 2013.
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Lee, Timothy B. “Low-income Countries Might Get Drone Deliveries before the U.S. Here’s Why.” Washington Post. December 3, 2013.
Lev-Ram, Michael. “The End of Driving (as We Know It).” Fortune. June 12, 2014.
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Levinson, David. “What Ever Happened to Traffic?” Transportationist Blog. November 7, 2013.
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Markoff, John. “”Police, Pedestrians and the Social Ballet of Merging: The Real Challenges for Self-Driving Cars.” New York Times. May 29, 2014.
Markoff, John. “Google’s Next Phase in Driverless Cars: No Steering Wheel or Brake Pedals.” New York Times. May 27, 2014.
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McCrum, Dan. “Insurers Will Destroy Themselves to Nudge Us Into Robot Utopia.” Financial Times. March 4, 2013.
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“Helsingin Bussiliikenne Oy (Helsinki Bus Transportation Company) Saves Money, Boosts Customer Satisfaction with Power BI for Office 365.” Microsoft. April 22, 2014.
Mims, Christopher. “Commentary: Uber’s $18.2B Valuation Is a Head Scratcher.” Wall Street Journal. June 6, 2014.
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Mui, Chunka. “Dispatch From 2023: Google Considers Buying 250,000 Driverless Cars From Tesla, But Buys Tesla Instead.” Forbes. August 29, 2013.
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Peterson, Molly. “Is Ridesharing the Future of Public Transit Systems, or the Failure of Them?” Southern California Public Radio. July 8, 2013.
Plumer, Brad. “Will Driverless Cars Solve Our Energy Problems — or Just Create New Ones?” Washington Post Wonkblog. March 30, 2013.
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Over the next several weeks, the Rudin Center will be releasing a series of white papers and reports from our research project on Re-Programming Mobility: Getting Around Metropolitan America in 2030 and the Coming Crisis in Transportation Planning, which has been led over the last 12 months by Dr. Anthony Townsend.
Every Monday in August we will be releasing material from the Re-Programming Mobility project including a bibliography, a technology signals report, an article examining two case studies of technology and regional mobility in the US and UK, and a set of four alternative futures scenarios exploring technological change and land use in US metropolitan areas.
Today, we are pleased to announce the release of a white paper authored by Prof. Andrew Mondschein of the University of Virginia (and a former research scientist at the Rudin Center). This white paper provides a wide-ranging overview of the key issues raised by new information and communications technologies, where they have been addressed in the transportation and planning literature, and what gaps remain. We hope that this document can orient researchers who are mapping their own strategies for studying this crucially important topic in the future.
The abstract follows:
This paper addresses questions of how planners and other transportation professionals should be thinking about, planning for, and managing ICTs. The review draws on existing literatures from urban planning, social and applied science, and the technological press. Key considerations include the history of technologies in transportation planning, theories explaining effects of technologies on travel, how planners deal with technologies today, and ongoing gaps in knowledge, concepts, and practice. This exploration is wide-ranging, as the range of technologies now transforming mobility is itself broad. I argue that in many cases planners are not yet prepared for the onslaught of ICTs and their effects on mobility. Even where researchers have begun to frame potential impacts, clear linkages to planning and have yet to solidify. Historically, technological advances have been a boon for travel, making systems safer and more useful, but also facilitating increased driving with its ancillary impacts. Conceptually, ICTs don’t just reduce monetary and time costs, but also shift the patterns of daily life and fundamentally alter how people make choices about where to go and how to get there. These functional and psycho-social effects will continue to impact planners’ ability to meet fundamental transportation planning objectives such as increasing accessibility, equity, sustainability, and livability. The potential for significant shifts in behavior suggests that dealing with ICTs is not just a matter of updated regulation, but of reconsidering longstanding assumptions built into the planning process.
Announcing the NYU Rudin Center’s new fellowship for Emerging Leaders in Transportation.
In this fellowship program, participants will learn from top transportation and management professionals to enhance leadership skills and policy work to bring innovative ideas into practice. During three half-day sessions, emerging leaders will build long-term leadership goals and will focus on developing innovative projects and ideas within an organization.
- Leadership and Transportation
- Leadership and Innovation
- Building Support for Innovation
Applications due August 15, 2014. APPLY HERE: http://wagner.nyu.edu/rudincenter/fellowship_application/
- The program is open to transportation professionals with up to 10 years of experience.
- The program will be held on three half-days: October 10, 17 and 24.
- There is no cost for participating in the program.
- We are unable to subsidize travel or lodging for participants.
Further questions? Email email@example.com.
This program is supported by a grant from the University Transportation Research Center.
Where can you use your cell phone underground? Here’s a map to show you which 37 subway stations are wired for access. According to MTA and Transit Wireless, the consortium responsible for building out the access, the 241 remaining underground stations will come online within four years.
// Map by NYU Rudin Center intern Andrew Poeppel – data from Transit Wireless
Top image: flickr // momentcaptured1
Last night’s panel on Big Ideas for Transportation, co-hosted by the Rudin Center, Downtown Alliance and Control Group, featured fantastic talks against the scenic background of South Street Seaport.
The speaker lineup:
- Daria Siegel, Downtown Alliance
- Gale Brewer, Manhattan Borough President
- Sarah Kaufman, NYU Rudin Center
- Chris Whong, Socrata, explored the notion of hardware-based taxi hailing devices, bringing the internet of things to the urban street corner.
- Florent Pyre, Placemeter, discussed Placemeter Speedbuster, a crowdsourcing initiative that allows citizens to let city agenciesidentify traffic hotspots that warrant additional stop signs, speed bumps, or traffic patrols by placing a small sensor in their windows and leveraging computer vision.
- Joe Dack, NYC DOT, discussed freight activity and give an overview of solutions that organizations can adopt to reduce the impact of freight activity in the urban area.
- Eric Goldwyn, Columbia University School of Architecture, Preservation & Planning, made the case for expanded ferry service between Lower Manhattan, Northern Brooklyn, and Western Queens.
- Justin Schultz, MTA Capital Construction, discussed the changing landscape in Lower Manhattan and transit’s role in the creation ofa truly 24/7 community.
- Neysa Pranger (Moderator), Control Group
Some photos of the event:
Thanks to event co-organizers Daria Siegel and Stacey Levine, and to Jeff Ferzoco for photography.
Did you know people post Yelp reviews of subway stations? Here’s a map of NYC’s busiest subway stations, created by our summer intern Andrew Poeppel. Click on the stations (numbered by busiest) to see their Yelp rating, reviews and more.
You can find Andrew on Twitter: @AndrewPoeppel.
Join us at the South Street Seaport on July 8th at 6:30pm for a discussion of big transportation ideas. Details below; register here.
Check out video of our Citi Bike App Showcase event. Thanks to Joly MacFie and the Internet Society for recording and posting.